By Danny Liew Shan Lee
First of all, allow us at DSGC to post our heartfelt
condolences to the families of those who lost their lives in the tragic downing
of Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 over Ukrainian airspace on 17 July 2014.
Just barely recovering from the tragedy of the missing
Malaysian Airlines Flight MH370, the news struck Malaysians from all walk of
lives hardest. As details of the
incident began to filter back to Malaysia, it had the surreal feeling that we
were all trapped in a never-ending nightmare.
But unlike the missing MH370, there seems to be a culprit that everyone
could point there finger at in this latest tragedy.
Culprit, or
Scapegoat?
Almost immediately, western world, led vociferously by the
Ukrainian Government began to point fingers at the pro-Kremlin separatist
movement that is currently operating in the area as the culprit that had shot
down the plane, and by default, Putin-led government as the backer of this atrocity.
They could even point out the specific weapon claimed to be
used to shoot down the luckless plane, BUK M1, a Soviet era anti-aircraft
surface to air missile system, which in an ironic twist of fate was once
offered to Malaysian Armed Forces to be considered for her air defence needs.
This seems to be conclusive, when recordings of intercepted rebel
conversation claiming that they had downed a passenger plane shortly after the
plane went down was made public by the Ukrainian intelligence services. This was strengthened by the fact that a
rebel commander had put up a comment in twitter claiming responsibility of
downing a military transport plane in the area, before being removed once the
news was made aware to the media that a civilian transport plane had gone down
in the area.
Kremlin’s Response
The pro-Kremlin separatists were soon to deny that they had
shot down the plane, claiming that they have only man-portable air defence
surface to air missiles, specifically Igla, which they had used to shoot down
at least 3 Ukrainian aircrafts during the week immediately before the downing
of MH17. At the same time, they pointed
out that the Ukrainian forces does operate the BUK M1 and is capable of
shooting down the plane.
Kremlin was quick to shore up their support for the
pro-Kremlin separatists. And as pressure
began to mount on Kremlin, Putin was said to have made calls to both Malaysian
Prime Minister, DS Najib Razak and Dutch Prime Minister, Mark Rutte to promise
swift action to allow rescuers and investigation teams to enter the crash site.
Witch Hunt Begin
As mentioned earlier, the whole world seems to believe that
the culprit for the crash to be the pro-Kremlin separatists. With the international media pouring oil into
the fire, there were even calls for retribution against Russia.
No doubt, downing of a civilian aircraft is a casus belli
for war. The precedent had been set during
the First World War, when the sinking of RMS Lusitania by the Germans had
resulted in the United States to join the war on the sides of British and
French.
However, good sense must prevail as no investigation had
been conducted yet on the ground to determine who held the smoking gun. For this, let’s look into who are the main
stakeholders in this conflict.
Ukraine
By and large, Ukraine is set to gain the most from the
international outrage against the downing of the plane. After losing Crimea to Russia in a hotly
contested referendum fraught with violence, Ukraine’s image, and that of her
military took heavy bashing this year. While
they are facing pro-Kremlin separatist forces, the core of these forces are
essentially Russian military forces and complemented by a local militia and
defected Ukrainian military units.
An international outrage against Russia will see the
Ukrainian government getting much needed support, and potentially reinforcement
if situation escalated beyond control.
However, Ukraine does have a have a history of shooting down
a civilian airliner by accident. In 2001,
Ukrainian air defence units manning S200V launchers had launched and destroyed
a Siberian Airliner Flight 1812 Tupolev TU-154M civilian airliner. All 78 lives on board were lost.
It took about a week before they admitted that they shot
down the plane, after Russian and Israeli investigators found incriminating
evidence pointing to Ukraine.
Pro-Kremlin Separatists
Much like what the Russians did in South Ossetia when
Georgia began to openly support American hegemony, the pro-Kremlin separatists took
to the arms in what they perceived as foreign threat over their homeland. Bulk of these militia are untrained, thus are
likely to be trigger-happy.
The trigger point in Ukraine for the militia to rise up was
the forced coup against the previous Ukrainian President, Victor Yakunovych, an
ardent pro-Kremlin politician.
Russia
Russian President, Vladimir Putin, to a certain extent is
the face of New Russia. Former KGB
agent, he is despised in the West for engineering the secession of South
Ossetia into Russia during the Georgian War and getting away of it. United States and Europe has brokered
sanctions on him and his associates, believing that this will hurt Putin. In fact, the day before the flight MH17 went
down in Eastern Ukraine, Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) of United
States Treasury had just slapped a tighter sanctions on Russia for their continued
involvement in the Ukrainian conflict.
But Russia’s hands too are bloody. They had in fact, shot down 2 Korean Air
Lines planes when they were still USSR; KAL902 in 1978 and KAL007 in 1983. Death toll were 2 in the KAL902 incident
while all 269 lives were lost in the KAL007 flight.
United States and
European Union
Like it or not, United States and European Union are key
stake holders in the crisis. A stronger
Ukraine would mean a subdued Russia, and a continuing hegemony for the United
States. This too would translate to
potentially a cheaper utility bills for European Union as they are dependent on
gas imports from Russia.
As were the Russians and the Ukrainians being guilty of
shooting down civilian passenger planes, so were the United States. In 1988, USS Vincennes as part of US Navy’s
convoy to protect the shipping lanes in Middle-East during the Iran – Iraq war
had shot down Iranian Air IR655, killing all 290 lives on board.
What is this to
Malaysia?
Malaysian Airlines is Malaysia’s pride. It is our nation’s most recognizable brand. Thus, the loss of the 298 lives is also a
blemish to our pride.
The culprits for this heinous act must be brought to
justice. But we should not accept the
accusations thrown by the Western media as gospel truth. While the world piles pressure on the Russian
Government, we too must push for equal pressure on Ukrainian government to
allow the release of their records for the day.
Diplomatic relationship with both nations are equally
important. Thus, we must ensure that
investigation would be able to uncover the truth for we do not want to throw
our support behind those that had murdered our people.
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